rConstitution.us
latest  boundaries  about

Living through Coronavirus, Living with Coronavirus

Make physical barriers secure using fast testing. Create human barriers by fostering population immunity. Intervene early against infection and against disease. And live normal life.

James Anthony
August 11, 2020

Fellow sovereign individuals, I am here today to work with you on two pressing matters: living through coronavirus, and living with coronavirus.

First, living through coronavirus

The risk of dying from catching SARS-CoV-2 is significantly higher for people who have certain risks [1]

The biggest risk factorby farincreases the risk of dying by 180 times: 

    • age [180x for people 80 or more vs. people 18 to 40] 

Four risk factors increase the risk of dying by 2 to 4 times:

    • organ transplant [4.3x]
    • cancer [3.5x]
    • neurological disease [2.5x]
    • high body-mass index [2.3x]

Eight risk factors increase the risk of dying by 1 1/2 to 2 times:

    • male sex [2.0x]
    • chronic obstructive pulmonary disease [1.8x]
    • poverty [1.8x] 
    • kidney disease [1.7x]
    • nonwhite ethnicity [1.7x]
    • immunosuppressive condition [1.7x]
    • liver disease [1.6x]
    • diabetes that’s under control [1.5x]. 

In time, many people will have immunity that makes them human barriers to transmission, so everyone’s risk of infection will be very low. 

Until people have immunity, for higher-risk people the challenge is to live through this initial time of higher exposure. 

The toughest exposure risk is indoor air. Dangerous very-small droplets of SARS-CoV-2 virus remain suspended in air, drift long distances, and build up concentration in indoor spaces [2]. Indoor spaces don’t currently have UV-C systems to destroy SARS-CoV-2 virus [3]

But we can still create manmade barriers to transmission. Our higher-risk people live in nursing homes and private residences, which are ready-to-use manmade barriers. These become protective barriers if higher-risk people and their helpers control access, and if their helpers test themselves. 

To protect higher-risk people, their helpers don’t need tests that are sensitive to very-low viral loads that pose very-low risk of infection. Their helpers need tests that are affordable, convenient, and fast [4]

As this government’s chief executive, I will approve these tests. I call on business people to provide these tests, on medical people to encourage this testing, and on everyone to use these tests. 

If helpers self-test daily before they leave for work, higher-risk people will be much more likely to live through this initial time. 

If you are at higher risk, then also strengthen your immune system: 

  • Sleep well.
    When you’re exposed to cold virus, good sleep reduces your chance of developing a cold by 5 times [5].

Help your body fight the infection: 

  • Let your temperature rise, or raise your temperature, as high as 104°F.
    Higher temperature lets your body reduce virus buildup by orders of magnitude [6].
  • Intervene early with hydroxychloroquine [7] and zinc [8].
    Antiviral hydroxychloroquine, without supplemental zinc, reduces the risk of death by 51% [9]. Supplemental zinc is needed by 49% of people [10].

And help your body fight the disease: 

  • Intervene early with NAC [11].
    This natural antioxidant likely prevents and reverses SARS-CoV-2’s deadly blood clotting [12]
  • Intervene early with dexamethasone. 
    This inflammation-reducing steroid reduces the risk of death by at least 35% [13].

Initially, then, when exposure risk is higher, higher-risk people can live through coronavirus using controlled access, fast testing of helpers, sleep, higher body temperature, hydroxychloroquine and zinc, NAC, and dexamethasone. 

These are substantial steps that some people can take, but they still leave out a key way that the rest of us can help. 

The help that has always mattered most in the past is the help that can be provided by the people who have lower risk.

Second, living with coronavirus

When I mentioned barriers to virus transmission, I started by mentioning human barriers: people who have immunity. 

We are going to live with coronavirus, like we have lived with every other infectious disease, for a very-long time. 

The best way to live with coronavirus will be the way we’ve lived with every other infectious disease since the 1918 flu: by not leaving the people in any region vulnerable, because worldwide, people develop immunity [14]

  • Strong innate immunity protects some people. 
  • Antibodies protect some recently-exposed people. 
  • Memory T cells, like those that still encode how to fight the SARS virus after 17 years [15], protect many people. 
  • Antibodies and memory T cells protect some people not after virus exposure but after safer vaccine exposure—if vaccines’ benefits exceed their costs. 

Our higher-risk people are protected best when immunity is developed quickly by everyone who has a lower risk of dying from catching SARS-CoV-2. That’s most people. 

Age is the greatest risk factor by far. No other factor comes close. With every decade of age, the risk of dying from catching SARS-CoV-2 goes up by 2 to 3 times. With every two decades of ageor with every one generation of agethis risk goes up more than with any other risk factor. With two generations of age or more, this risk of dying from catching SARS-CoV-2 keeps multiplying even higher. It literally increases exponentially [1]

This is fantastic for people who are younger. Young people from birth through age 24 have died at very-low rates from catching SARS-CoV-2no more than from catching the current flu [16]. (How many young people have you ever known who have died from the flu?) 

But this fantastic news for people who are younger also means that young people can hardly be protected any better when administrators impose virtual classes, masks, distancing, sanitizing, you name it. 

Meanwhile these exact actions, imposed on young people who don’t need these protections, make higher-risk people face higher exposure risks. These actions, being taken now, elevate the exposure risks both now and in the future. And the resulting future outbreaks are more likely to catch higher-risk people off-guard. These higher exposure risks get baked in for as long as we don’t build immunity now. 

To whatever extent that our current novel actions have increased deaths so far, you could say that this deeply-unfortunate result has all come about by accident, up till now. But now we know better. Now, we must stop going further down this path that’s dead wrong. 

We must start not just allowing but positively encouraging people who face lower risks of dying from catching SARS-CoV-2 to start building immunity in our population. 

Population immunity protects everyone [16]. It’s working with nature. It’s working with the amazing capabilities of the bodies that God gives us, to protect everyone. 

And God doesn’t just leave it to us to fight diseases using our bodies’ defenses alone. He also helps us learn more over time, and build new, helpful practices and medicines. 

Like higher-risk people, lower-risk people should make use of sleep, higher body temperature, hydroxychloroquine and zinc, NAC, and dexamethasone. 

And like helpers, lower-risk people should use fast testing before visiting higher-risk people, and otherwise should self-isolate from higher-risk people. 

Such common sense sounds easy. But common sense often comes only after we first try everything else [17].

Novel actions can create great depressions

Compared to how people have learned to live with infectious diseases in the past, in this latest coronavirus outbreak, people have taken many novel actions. Many have been harmful actions. 

We’ve been through cycles like this before, cycles of novel actions, taken with good intentions, that turn out to be exceptionally harmful. 

In a key example, starting in 1929, prices temporarily plummeted. By that time, people had seen such deep depressions play out many times before. 

One time, starting in 1839, people had lived through an equally-deep depression. Back then, when prices temporarily plummeted, people could see that they temporarily wouldn’t still need their wages to be as high as they had been before the crash, so wages temporarily plummeted too. 

Basically, people took action on their own. And it turned out that their individual actions worked great. 

This deep 1839 depression ended up lasting four years. Even so, throughout those years, people kept their jobs, kept producing more, and kept living better [18].

What turned the 1929 depression into America’s Great Depression [19] was that government people and business people tried a novel action. This time after prices plummeted, government people and business people decided to keep wages high. They meant well. 

But with revenues coming in way lower, while wages were artificially kept high, business people couldn’t pay as many people to work. As a result, people lost their jobs in staggering numbers and then couldn’t find new jobs for many years [20]

On this latest coronavirus outbreak, many government people and business people once again tried novel actions. 

Actually, this time such novel actions, taken with good intentions, have been taken not just by people in high-level positions but in total by people in all kinds of positions: 

  • school administrators
  • school-board members
  • city-government people
  • county-government people
  • business people
  • state-government people
  • national-government people, starting with our only national representative, our president. 

If all these people keep forcing on us novel actions that ignore the lessons learned in the past, and if everyone else keeps going along with these novel actions, then this time a new great depression absolutely is possible. 

A new great depression is exactly what we should be expecting to result from such novel actions. The same pattern of hubris, lockstep, and centralized actions that our ancestors fell into is being repeated again now, and by more people than ever. And remember, when even just the people in high-level positions did this in 1939, we know how that turned out. 

Well, not this time. Not on my watch. 

No one will push our great people into another great depression. Not on my watch. 

Not for as long as you elect me to use the powers that we sovereign individuals delegate to this government’s chief executive. 

During the initial presumed emergency, the advisors who were immediately on hand were listened to exclusively and were followed rapidly. 

But now we have hard data. Now, advisors outside of government, and from around the world, are being listened to. And all advice isn’t anywhere close to equal. Far from it. Some advisors have a far-better understanding of the science, present and past, and have far-better respect for the full range of options that can be worked out by sovereign individuals who remain free. 

As this government’s chief executive, I will accept the wisdom from people outside of government and throughout the world, both present and past. I will work with everyone to return to what has worked best throughout our lives and throughout our ancestors’ lives. 

God provides us the best defenses against what threatens us. 

And we can feel a whole lot better by understanding that in modern timesat all times after the 1917 Spanish Fluour defenses have been working way better [14].

Our defenses have been working way better precisely because from that time all the way up until our recent novel actions, people have been more-widely exposed to more pathogens worldwide, we’ve used our God-given defenses much-more fully, and these gifts from God work like nothing else. 

Today, we will also use the additional medicines and good knowledge we have now, these further gifts from God. Including the medicines and knowledge passed down to us by the people who have gone before us. 

We will live through coronavirus, and we will live with coronavirus. 

We will live normally, helping people who are at higher risk of dying from catching SARS-CoV-2. Helping them by keeping them separate, and helping them by building up our population immunity. 

Together we will each live life that’s good, life that’s normal [21].

On my watch, my fellow sovereign individuals, we will remain free, living full lives. 

Thank you, and God bless you all. 

References

  1. Williamson, Elizabeth, et al. “OpenSAFELY: Factors Associated with COVID-19-Related Hospital Death in the Linked Electronic Health Records of 17 Million Adult NHS Patients.” medRxiv, 7 May 2020, www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.05.06.20092999v1.full.pdf. Accessed 11 Aug. 2020.
  2. Morawska, Lidia, and Junji Cao. “Airborne Transmission of SARS-CoV-2: The World Should Face the Reality.” Environment International, vol. 139, 2020, 105730.
  3. Bianco, Andrea, et al. “UV-C Irradiation Is Highly Effective in Inactivating and Inhibiting SARS-CoV-2 Replication.” medRxiv, 23 June 2020, www.medrxiv.org/content/medrxiv/early/2020/06/07/2020.06.05.20123463.full.pdf. Accessed 11 Aug. 2020.
  4. Larremore, Daniel B., et al. “Test Sensitivity Is Secondary to Frequency and Turnaround Time for COVID-19 Surveillance.” medRxiv, 27 June 2020, www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.06.22.20136309v2.full.pdf. Accessed 11 Aug. 2020.
  5. Cohen, Sheldon, et al. “Sleep Habits and Susceptibility to the Common Cold.” Archives of Internal Medicine, vol. 169, no. 1, 2009, pp. 62-7.
  6. Lwoff, André. “Factors Influencing the Evolution of Viral Diseases at the Cellular Level and in the Organism.” Bacteriological Reviews, vol. 23, no. 3, 1959, pp. 109-24.
  7. Shittu, Mujeeb Olushola, and Olufemi Ifeoluwa Afolami. “Improving the Efficacy of Chloroquine and Hydroxychloroquine against SARS-CoV-2 May Require Zinc Additives-A Better Synergy for Future COVID-19 Clinical Trials.” Le Infezioni in Medicina, vol. 28, no. 2, 2020, pp. 192-7.
  8. Xue, Jing, et al. :Chloroquine Is a Zinc Ionophore.” PloS One, vol. 9, no. 10, 2014, e109180.
  9. Arshad, Samia, et al. “Treatment with Hydroxychloroquine, Azithromycin, and Combination in Patients Hospitalized with COVID-19.” International Journal of Infectious Diseases, vol. 97, 1 July 2020, pp. 396-403. 
  10. Briefel, Ronette R., et al. “Zinc Intake of the US Population: Findings from the Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, 1988–1994.” The Journal of Nutrition, vol. 130, no. 5, 2000, pp. 1367S-73S.
  11. Van Hecke, Oliver, and Joseph Lee. “N-Acetylcysteine: A Rapid Review of the Evidence for Effectiveness in Treating COVID-19.” CEBM, 14 Apr. 2020, https://www.cebm.net/covid-19/n-acetylcysteine-a-rapid-review-of-the-evidence-for-effectiveness-in-treating-covid-19/. Accessed 11 Aug. 2020.
  12. Seheult, Roger. “Update 69: ‘NAC’ Supplementation and COVID-19 (N-Acetylcysteine).” MedCram, 11 May 2020, www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dr_6w-WPr0w&t=107s. Accessed 11 Aug. 2020.
  13. Horby, Peter, et al. “Effect of Dexamethasone in Hospitalized Patients with COVID-19 – Preliminary Report.” 22 June 2020. 
  14. Gupta, Sunetra. “We May Already Have Herd Immunity – An Interview with Professor Sunetra Gupta.” Reaction.life, interview by Maggie Pagano et al, 21 July 2020, reaction.life/we-may-already-have-herd-immunity-an-interview-with-professor-sunetra-gupta/. Accessed 11 Aug. 2020.
  15. Le Bert, Nina, et al. “SARS-CoV-2-Specific T Cell Immunity in Cases of COVID-19 and SARS, and Uninfected Controls.” Nature, 15 July 2020, www.nature.com/articles/s41586-020-2550-z_reference.pdf. Accessed 11 Aug. 2020.
  16. Bhopal, Raj S. “COVID-19 Zugzwang: Potential Public Health Moves towards Population (Herd) Immunity.” Public Health in Practice, vol. 1, 2020, 100031.
  17. Trumbull, Robert. “Japan Welcomes Eban Warmly: Her Industry Impresses Israeli.” New York Times19 Mar. 1967, p. 14, quoteinvestigator.com/2012/11/11/exhaust-alternatives/. Accessed 11 Aug. 2020.
  18. Rothbard, Murray N. A History of Money and Banking in the United States: The Colonial Era to World War II. Ludwig von Mises Institute, 2002, p. 103.
  19. Rothbard, Murry N. America’s Great Depression. 5th ed., The Ludwig von Mises Institute, 2000.
  20. Ohanian, Lee E. “What—or Who—Started the Great Depression?” Journal of Economic Theory, vol. 144, no. 6, 2009, pp. 2310-35.
  21. Inglesby, Thomas V., et al. “Disease Mitigation Measures in the Control of Pandemic Influenza.” Biosecurity and Bioterrorism: Biodefense Strategy, Practice, and Science, vol. 4, no. 4, 2006, pp. 366-75.

James Anthony is a chemical engineer with a master’s in mechanical engineering, and author of The Constitution Needs a Good Party: Good Government Comes from Good Boundaries, and rConstitution Papers: Offsetting Powers Secure Our Rights

Commenting

  1. Be respectful.
  2. Say what you mean. 
    Provide data. Don’t say something’s wrong without providing data. Do explain what’s right and provide data. It’s been said that often differences in opinion between smart people are differences in data, and the guy with the best data wins.  link  But when a writer provides data, the writer and the readers all win. Don’t leave readers guessing unless they go to links or references. 
  3. Credit sources
    Provide links or references to credit data sources and to offer leads.